Document Type : Research Paper


1 PhD student in Strategic Management in Sport, Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Mobarakeh Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mobarakeh, Iran

2 Assistant Professor in Sport Management, Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Mobarakeh Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mobarakeh, Iran.

3 Associate Professor in Sport Management, Department of Physical Education and Sport Science, Isfahan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran

4 Assistant Professor in Future Research, Department of Management, Isfahan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran


The aim of this study was to explore the future of educational sport in Iran to predict the future of educational sport and to formulate strategies for the year 2035. To predict, the scenario-based approach based on an intuitive logic approach was applied and to design the scenarios, the strategy of trends and uncertainty analysis as well as a six-step integrated scenario planning were used. First, the project boundary was specified. Then, the main factors of development and the blind spots were identified with a 360-degree feedback. Subsequently, two key uncertainties were formulated as the basis to design the scenario. Then, a complete definition for the four possible scenarios was provided in detail. In the fifth step, a general strategy based on the scenarios was presented. Finally, in the last step the strategies were monitored and controlled. The participants of this study were 44 internal and external stakeholders of Iranian educational sport selected by a purposeful sampling. The data were collected through interviews and open-ended questionnaires. According to the results, the analysis of the 30 key factors ultimately lead to the production of two key uncertainties; "networking among key actors" and "family and community synergy", which were the basis of Iran's four major educational sporting scenarios. As a result, it is suggested that, in order to develop the Iranian educational sport, networking and synergy of institutions with the focus on Ministry of Sport and Youth be done.


Main Subjects

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